Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PAULETTE-20 in Bermuda, from 07 Sep 2020 03:00 UTC to 13 Sep 2020 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAULETTE-20

in Bermuda,

13 Sep 2020 21 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAULETTE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Bermuda,
Exposed population	70 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	167 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (14 Sep 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Bermuda)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	185 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	167 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

TOP

Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to 71000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	07 Sep 2020 03:00	102	No people	No people
2	07 Sep 2020 09:00	93	No people	No people
3	07 Sep 2020 15:00	93	No people	No people
4	07 Sep 2020 21:00	93	No people	No people
5	08 Sep 2020 03:00	102	No people	No people
6	08 Sep 2020 09:00	102	No people	No people
7	08 Sep 2020 15:00	111	No people	No people
8	08 Sep 2020 21:00	111	No people	No people
9	09 Sep 2020 03:00	102	No people	No people
10	09 Sep 2020 09:00	93	No people	No people
11	09 Sep 2020 15:00	93	No people	No people
12	09 Sep 2020 21:00	102	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
13	10 Sep 2020 03:00	120	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
14	10 Sep 2020 09:00	139	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
15	10 Sep 2020 15:00	139	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
16	10 Sep 2020 21:00	148	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
17	11 Sep 2020 03:00	167	70 thousand	70 thousand	Bermuda
18	11 Sep 2020 09:00	167	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda
19	11 Sep 2020 15:00	167	70 thousand	70 thousand	Bermuda
20	11 Sep 2020 21:00	176	70 thousand	70 thousand	Bermuda
21	12 Sep 2020 03:00	176	70 thousand	70 thousand	Bermuda
22	12 Sep 2020 09:00	176	70 thousand	70 thousand	Bermuda
23	12 Sep 2020 15:00	176	70 thousand	70 thousand	Bermuda
24	12 Sep 2020 21:00	176	70 thousand	70 thousand	Bermuda
25	13 Sep 2020 03:00	176	70 thousand	70 thousand	Bermuda
26	13 Sep 2020 09:00	176	70 thousand	70 thousand	Bermuda
27	13 Sep 2020 15:00	185	70 thousand	70 thousand	Bermuda
28	13 Sep 2020 21:00	185	70 thousand	70 thousand	Bermuda

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	07 Sep 2020 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	17, -41.5
2	07 Sep 2020 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	17.3, -42.1
3	07 Sep 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	17.2, -42.2
4	07 Sep 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	17.5, -42.4
5	08 Sep 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	17.8, -42.5
6	08 Sep 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	18.1, -42.8
7	08 Sep 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.4, -43.3
8	08 Sep 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.7, -44.3
9	09 Sep 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	19.2, -45
10	09 Sep 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	19.2, -45.6
11	09 Sep 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	20, -46.5
12	09 Sep 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	20.5, -47.4
13	10 Sep 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	20.9, -48.1
14	10 Sep 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	20.9, -49
15	10 Sep 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	21.5, -49.1
16	10 Sep 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	22.1, -50.1
17	11 Sep 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	22.7, -50.9
18	11 Sep 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	23.1, -51.7
19	11 Sep 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	23.6, -52.2
20	11 Sep 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	24.6, -53.7
21	12 Sep 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	25.8, -54.8
22	12 Sep 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	26.8, -56.1
23	12 Sep 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	27.5, -57.2
24	12 Sep 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	28.4, -58.5
25	13 Sep 2020 03:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	28.9, -59.7
26	13 Sep 2020 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	29.4, -60.8
27	13 Sep 2020 15:00	Category 1	130	no people	71000 people	29.9, -61.9
28	13 Sep 2020 21:00	Category 1	139	71000 people	71000 people	30.6, -63.1
28	14 Sep 2020 06:00	Category 2	157	71000 people	71000 people	31.8, -64.5
28	14 Sep 2020 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	71000 people	33.9, -64.8
28	15 Sep 2020 06:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	36.1, -62.4
28	15 Sep 2020 18:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	38.1, -57.8
28	16 Sep 2020 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	40.3, -52.6
28	16 Sep 2020 18:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	42.4, -47.4
28	17 Sep 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	45.5, -38.7
28	18 Sep 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	44.4, -34.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Bermuda

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Bermuda	Bermuda

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Hamilton		Bermuda	Capital	<1000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Bermuda International	BDA	4	Mil.	Paved	Yes	9700

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Saint George	BMSGE	Bermuda
Bermuda		Bermuda
Hamilton	BMBDA	Bermuda
Somerset		Bermuda

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Hamilton, Bermuda. This height is estimated for 14 Sep 2020 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (72 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 28 of 13 Sep 2020 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 Sep 2020 10:00	Hamilton	Bermuda	0.5
	16 Sep 2020 16:00	Saint Shotts	Canada	0.2
	16 Sep 2020 16:00	Trepassey	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 16:00	Portugal Cove South	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 15:00	Cape Race	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 18:00	Point Lance	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 18:00	Branch	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 18:00	Saint Bride's	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Angels Cove	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Ship Cove	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 18:00	Mosquito	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 18:00	Saint Vincent's	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 18:00	Riverhead	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 15:00	Fermeuse	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 15:00	Cappahayden	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Saint Pierre	St. Pierre and Miquelon	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Chance Cove	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Bellevue	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 15:00	Cape Broyle	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Lamaline	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Saint Lawrence	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Burin	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Marystown	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Rock Harbour	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Little Barasway	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	North Harbour	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 18:00	Admirals Beach	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 18:00	Gaskiers	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 18:00	Saint Mary's	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Monkstown	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Merasheen	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Placentia	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Argentia	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Dunville	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Fox Harbour	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Colinet	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 15:00	Renews	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Point Crewe	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Point May	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 15:00	Ferryland	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Lawn	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 18:00	Saint Josephs	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Baine Harbour	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Saint Josephs	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Clattice Harbour	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Tacks Beach	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Red Island	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Great Brule	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Harbour Buffet	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Spencers Cove	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Woody Island	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Sound Island	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Come By Chance	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Sunnyside	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 15:00	Tors Cove	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 15:00	Mobile	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 15:00	Witless Bay	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 15:00	Bay Bulls	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 15:00	Petty Harbour	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 15:00	St. John's	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 20:00	Fortune	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 20:00	Grand Bank	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 19:00	Parkers Cove	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 20:00	Miqeulon	St. Pierre and Miquelon	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 20:00	Grand Beach	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 20:00	Garnish	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 20:00	Bay L'Argent	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 14:00	Bay Roberts	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 14:00	Brigus	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 14:00	Upper Island Cove	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 15:00	Harbour Main	Canada	0.1
	16 Sep 2020 15:00	Holyrood	Canada	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.